The impact of project closure on HIV incidence and mortality in a cohort of couples in Lusaka, Zambia.

The objective of this study was to assess the impact of temporary closure of an HIV research clinic on the health of study participants. Primary data were collected quarterly from couples enrolled in research studies at an established HIV study site. There were 632 participating couples enrolled when the project closed, 475 of whom returned when it re-opened six months later. HIV sero-incidence, mortality rates and risk-taking behaviours were compared before and during the closure. Perceived impact of the closure was measured in returning participants. Demographic data collected at the last pre-closure study visit were used to look at the differences between returning and non-returning study participants. Serologic data from those who returned were compared pre- and post-closure to examine changes in HIV incidence. Mortality rates were estimated from reported deaths, and were compared pre- and during project closure. Perceptions of the impact of the closure among returning participants were examined through an interviewer administered questionnaire. It was found that couples who returned were not demographically different from couples who did not return. Most participants reported no problems with finding alternate sources of condoms and the incidence of HIV did not change significantly during the closure. Eighty-four percent respondents reported that the closure had a negative impact on them, 87% of whom rated loss of medical care as the main impact. The mortality rate among HIV-positive participants doubled from 6.7/100 person years to 12.4/100 person years during the closure (p=0.01). Results indicate that couples voluntary counselling and testing (CVCT) established durable risk-reduction behaviours that persisted during project closure. ThIn ae loss of healthcare was perceived as the most negative impact on participants, reflected in increased mortality rates. Research projects should make transition plans and budget for mechanisms to reduce the negative impact on participants of project closures.

Community-based follow-up for late patients enrolled in a district-wide programme for antiretroviral therapy in Lusaka, Zambia.

Timely adherence to clinical and pharmacy appointments is well correlated with favourable patient outcomes among HIV-infected individuals on antiretroviral therapy. To date, however, there is little work exploring reasons behind missed visits or evaluating programmatic strategies to recall patients. For this study we implemented community-based follow-up of late patients as part of a large-scale programme for HIV care and treatment in Lusaka, Zambia. Through a network of local home-based care organizations, we attempted home visits to recall patients using locator information provided at time of enrolment. Between May and September 2005, home-based caregivers were dispatched to trace 1,343 patients with missed appointments. Of these, 554 (41%) were untraceable because the provided address was invalid, the patient had moved or no one was at the home. Of the remaining 789, 359 (46%) were reported to have died. Only 430 (54% of those traced, 32% overall) were contacted directly and encouraged to return for care. The likelihood of patient return was higher among traced patients in crude analysis (relative risk [RR] = 2.5; 95%CI = 1.9-3.2) and in multivariable analysis controlling for baseline body mass index, sex and CD4 + count < or = 50/microL (adjusted RR = 2.3; 95%CI = 1.7-3.2). However, the process was inefficient: one late patient returned for every 18 home visits that were made. Reasons for missed visits were provided in 271 of 430 (63%) of the patients who were successfully traced. Common reasons included feeling too sick to come to the clinic, travelling away from home and being too busy. Despite the availability of free ART in Lusaka, patients face significant barriers to attending scheduled clinical visits. Cost-effective and feasible strategies are urgently needed to improve timely patient follow-up.

Early growth of infants of HIV-infected and uninfected Zambian women.

OBJECTIVE: Parental HIV infection may affect even those exposed children who remain uninfected. We investigated early growth, an indicator of overall health, of infants born to Zambian mothers recruited for a study of breastfeeding and postpartum health. METHODS: HIV-infected and uninfected women in Lusaka were followed regularly from late pregnancy to 16 weeks postpartum. Infant weight and length were measured at birth, 6 and 16 weeks. Infant HIV status could not be specifically determined in this cohort so comparisons were between all infants of HIV-uninfected mothers (n = 184) and those infants of HIV-infected mothers who were known to be alive and showed no clinical evidence of HIV infection at age 2-4 years (n = 85). RESULTS: Most infants were exclusively or predominantly breastfed until 16 weeks. At all time points infants of HIV-infected mothers tended to have lower weight and length standard deviation (Z) scores (significant for weight at 6 weeks; P = 0.04), even after adjustment for their lower gestational age at birth, compared with infants of uninfected mothers. In multivariate analyses the major factors affecting weight or length at 6 or 16 weeks of age were birth weight or length, and maternal subclinical mastitis, primiparity and weight during pregnancy. CONCLUSIONS: Early growth of infants of HIV-infected mothers is less than that of uninfected mothers, in part associated with subclinical mastitis, and this effect cannot be overcome with intensive support of mothers to follow international recommendations regarding exclusive breastfeeding.

Epidemic cholera in urban Zambia: hand soap and dried fish as protective factors.

Between 28 November 2003 and 23 February 2004, 4343 cases and 154 deaths from cholera (case-fatality rate 3.5%) were reported in Lusaka, Zambia. A case-control study was conducted in February 2004 to assess potential transmission routes and prevention strategies. Consumption of raw vegetables was significantly associated with cholera [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 4.7, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.7-13, P=0.003). Consumption of a local sardine-like fish was protective (aOR 0.3, 95% CI 0.1-0.7, P=0.008). Hand soap was present in 90% of control homes and 58% of case homes. Observed hand soap was a strongly protective factor (aOR 0.1, 95% CI 0.04-0.4, P=0.001). No water source or treatment practice was significantly associated with cholera. This study documents the importance of foodborne transmission of cholera, illustrates the protective role of hand washing in an epidemic setting, and identifies a novel possible protective factor, a local fish, which warrants further research.

Maternal micronutrient status and decreased growth of Zambian infants born during and after the maize price increases resulting from the southern African drought of 2001-2002.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effects on maternal micronutrient status and infant growth of the increased maize prices that resulted from the southern African drought of 2001-2002. DESIGN: Longitudinal cohort study. SETTING: A maternal and child health clinic in Lusaka, Zambia. SUBJECTS: Maternal and infant health and nutrition data and maternal plasma were being collected for a study of breast-feeding and postpartum health. Samples and data were analysed according to whether they were collected before (June to December 2001), during (January 2002 to April 2003) or after (May 2003 to January 2004) the period of increased maize price. Season and maternal HIV status were controlled for in analyses. RESULTS: Maize price increases were associated with decreased maternal plasma vitamin A during pregnancy (P = 0.028) and vitamin E postpartum (P = 0.042), with the lowest values among samples collected after May 2003 (vitamin A: 0.96 micromol l(-1), 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.84-1.09, n = 38; vitamin E: 30.8 micromol mmol(-1) triglycerides, 95% CI 27.2-34.8, n = 64) compared with before January 2002 (vitamin A: 1.03 micromol l(-1), 95% CI 0.93-1.12, n = 104; vitamin E: 38.9 micromol mmol(-1) triglycerides, 95% CI 34.5-43.8, n = 47). There were no significant effects of sampling date on maternal weight, haemoglobin or acute-phase proteins and only marginal effects on infant weight. Infant length at 6 and 16 weeks of age decreased progressively throughout the study (P-values for time of data collection were 0.51 at birth, 0.051 at 6 weeks and 0.026 at 16 weeks). CONCLUSIONS: The results show modest effects of the maize price increases on maternal micronutrient status. The most serious consequence of the price increases is likely to be the increased stunting among infants whose mothers experienced high maize prices while pregnant. During periods of food shortages it might be advisable to provide micronutrient supplements even to those who are less food-insecure.

Perinatal HIV transmission: developing country considerations.

In many developing countries, because the prevalence of maternal HIV infection is high (more than 30% in some sub-Saharan African countries) and the resources commonly used to prevent transmission in developed countries are generally not available, transmission of HIV from mother to infant is a devastating problem. Countries already experiencing infant mortality rates 10- to 20-fold greater than those in developed countries can expect a doubling of infant and childhood mortality due to HIV. Those infants who escape infection themselves can expect to be orphaned in early childhood. Low-cost antiviral therapy can reduce transmission substantially, but many countries do not have the infrastructure to screen pregnant women for HIV and appropriately treat the mothers and infants. In developing countries, reduction in maternal-child transmission is feasible, but will require substantial additional resources and a well-functioning obstetric care system.

Zambian women's attitudes toward mass nevirapine therapy to prevent perinatal transmission of HIV.

Use of mass nevirapine therapy--universal provision of the drug without HIV testing--for prevention of perinatal HIV in high prevalence settings with extreme resource constraints is a controversial strategy. A quarter of pregnant Zambian women surveyed would prefer to receive nevirapine through a non-testing mass strategy, and most would support mass therapy as a policy if it would make the drug available to a larger proportion of the at-risk population.

Cost-effective use of nevirapine to prevent vertical HIV transmission in sub-Saharan Africa.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the cost-effectiveness of alternative strategies of nevirapine (NVP) administration to prevent vertical HIV transmission in sub-Saharan Africa. DESIGN: A decision-analysis model was constructed to estimate the costs and effects of NVP-based prevention strategies for two separate groups of women: those who qualify for standard therapy by attending a 36-week prenatal visit, and those who do not qualify, owing to preterm delivery or lack of prenatal care. RESULTS: For women in prenatal care, mass provision of NVP without maternal serodiagnosis was found to yield greater health gains at an acceptable cost, compared with providing targeted therapy to only those women identified as seropositive. However, this conclusion was strongly contingent on several uncertain assumptions, most importantly the probability that a woman who does not know her serostatus will nonetheless adhere to therapy. Among those women who present for delivery without prior enrollment in a prenatal strategy, either late provision of maternal-infant NVP or treatment of only the infant would likely be a cost-effective alternative to the current practice of offering no preventive therapy. CONCLUSIONS: NVP intervention offers a cost-effective avenue for preventing vertical HIV transmission in sub-Saharan Africa. The optimal choice between mass therapy and targeted therapy cannot be confidently identified without information regarding adherence among women who do not know their serostatus. For women who do not receive NVP prenatally, treatment on presentation for delivery would be cost-effective even in the face of modest clinical efficacy. Clinical assessment of adherence to therapy among women who do not know their status and the field effectiveness of alternative approaches to NVP administration is urgently needed to allow identification of optimal prevention strategies.